A list of the essential articles that I posted to Twitter from January 24, 2010 – January 30, 2010.  This week’s categories: Online Fundraising; Israel & Jewish Nonprofits; Global Banking & Finance; and Potpourri.

This week contains fewer links than usual — the week was just a tad nuts.  I spoke at a conference, and in Hebrew, no less.  Needless to say, that occupied a lot of my time.  But about that (and the links that go along with it) at a different time.

Tizku LeMitzvot [May you continue to merit doing good deeds],

Shuey

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Online Fundraising

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As #Israel Gov released amount it contributes to 3rd sector, calls for NPOs to be more transparent http://ow.ly/104Jbvia @eJPhil

OpEd tackles the question: Balancing support of Jewish causes vs causes in wider world? http://ow.ly/129WR via@eJPhil

Don’t depend on Stanley Fischer to safeguard value of the dollar: “Exchange Intervention is temporary” http://ow.ly/12a7A via @Israel_News

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In the past I have written about the US dollars tough battle against a downward spiral. In short, the UnitedState’s dollar is fighting an increasingly gargantuan federal deficit and the prospect of continued low interest rates neither of which bode well for the strength of the dollar.

With that said, what happened last week that caused the dollar to soar against the shekel? Friday, October 23rd, saw the dollar close at 3.6972 while a week later on Friday, October 30th, the dollar closed at 3.7545 a jump of 1.5% in only seven days!

One, the Bank of Israel announced that it was not going to increase interest rates for November. Without going into detail and speaking only in broad terms, lower interest rates make a currency less desirable.

Two, reports that the United States economy grew for the first time in over a year. Helping this was another report that found that factory activity in the mid-US had also expanded. These reports help paint a picture that America could be on the road to reducing its debt and on the way to full economic recovery.

Three, and this might be the most important point, the market has been volatile this year (generally, for the good of everyone) and the end of the year is approaching. A financial advisor in Israel explained to me a current phenomenon: this past year has seen investors using the US dollar as a proxy for taking or reducing risk. In other words, when investors want risk, they sell dollars and when they want security they buy in dollars (investing in treasury bills and the like). The increase in dollar-based investment leads to an increase in demand and a shortening of supply hence the US dollar rises. More specifically, people are looking to hold on to whatever profits they have made this year and are buying dollars to secure these investments.

Please note: While this last item could affect the dollar for the next two months, this is in no way a prediction of the future. I have merely commented on the past. For an accurate read on what will/might happen, please visit your locally licensed financial advisor (i.e. not me).

Special thanks to the following periodicals that help me be an educated consumer:

New York Times Global Edition – Business

Globes: Israel’s Business Arena

Daily Forex

Forex Capital Markets

Tizku LeMitzvot [May you continue to merit doing good deeds],

Shuey

Summary of US Dollar’s Recent Activity

The peaks in the dollar/shekel exchange rate this past year and a half make me more nauseous that the merry-go-round at the local playground (and they really make me queasy). The dollar tanked and leveled out against the shekel at an 11-year low in late May of 2008, trading for 3.24. As if to prove itself, the dollar then proceeded to rise faster than analysts had predicted, peaking a little less than a year later in Mach of 2009 at 4.25. Since those glory days of March, the dollar has plummeted against all of the world’s currencies. Specifically, the last six months have seen the dollar drop against: the Pound, 7.2%; the Shekel, 8.9%; the Euro, 8.7%; and the Yen, 10.6%. With world markets (and charities financed by donations in US Dollars) hanging on the dollar’s every move, things are, once again, looking just a tad scary. Not monster-in-the-closet terrifying, mind you, but enough to make me bite my nails more often than I should.

Haaretz on Sunday summed up the danger of a low US dollar quite nicely:

The weakness of the dollar is problematic for almost the entire world…a low dollar makes it hard for them [Europeans and Israelis] to export their goods to the United States and other markets around the world that are linked to the dollar…The Americans must guard the dollar’s position as the world’s main currency for trade and savings, otherwise they’ll have a hard time continuing to issue bonds and rolling over their huge national debt.

What Should Nonprofits Be Thinking

What we in the nonprofit world need to realize is that the problems with the dollar are much larger than the USD/NIS rate of exchange. Changes in the dollar affect the world – Israel is just one of many. The Bank of Israel’s moves to buy dollars might be helping a little and the in the short term stemming the decline of the greenback, but Bank of Israel Governor Stanley Fischer is similar to David trying to fight Goliath armed with only a rubber band. Many argue that the problems of the US dollar are larger in scope and strength than anything that Fischer can throw at it.

With the future of the US Dollar unknown, where does it leave nonprofits – local and international – that operate in Israel financed by donors and/or foundations in the United States? Two words: budget low. A director of a nonprofit summed up his policy as follows: “I budget and then cut it by 10%. Then I cut it again another 10%.”

Taking it One Step Further

The primary responsibility of directors of charitable organizations is to ensure the continuation of their organization; they must adequately plan in order to protect their organization’s vital work. A surplus at the end of the fiscal year does not send the message of “mismanagement” to donors.  Conservative budgeting that guarantees the survival is objectively a very good thing and should be at the forefront of every director’s mind.

As a former boss of mine once said, “Charities can’t do charity.” Simply put, doing one favor or helping out one extra family could, literally, tip the balance, sending the organization into debt. Fiscal responsibility and a broad vision are crucial. Sometimes the needs of the many really do outweigh the needs of the few.

Tizku LeMitzvot,

Shuey